Kevin Roche

My deepest and abiding gratitude to all of you who read.

How to make the world a better place in 2022.

I don't have a clue what will happen in regard to the epidemic in 2022, but here is a guess about the most significant development.

Dr. Fauci admits that child hospitalizations attributed to CV-19 are grossly overstated.

Another set of age-structure charts, likely showing some effect of school being out and boosters taking hold.

Year-over-year charts show the impact of vaccines and depletion of the pool of most susceptible persons.

Slow processing at DOH, but the available data right now indicates a downturn in cases and hospitalizations.

Cohort analysis of ongoing case rates shows no real trend in either direction.

Cases are spreading pretty much everywhere, with a similar pattern to last year.

An updated vaccination rate chart shows it isn't lack of vaccination that is causing events.

Another research dump, probably the penultimate one for 2021, and I never thought I would be writing them this long.

I am basking in Florida warmth but still cranking out the research summaries.

The CDC's forecasting is as good as everything else the agency does.

A review of deaths in younger Minnesotans supposedly attributed to CV-19 shows that in most the virus had no significant role.

Proportions of events by vax status by age group.