In part 2 of our discussion about Minnesota epidemic model issues, we track movement from of the population into Exposed and Infected buckets.
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Interrupting our irregularly scheduled series of posts on the Minnesota model to pick up a few other tidbits of interest.
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The first in a series trying to help people understand the Minnesota model of the epidemic, with a focus on the logic of the model flow in this post .
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Jay Battacharya is a Stanford University based physician and economist. We shared a video of a discussion with him on coronavirus issues a couple of weeks ago. Here is a followup in which he talks about where we are now, including his work on antibody prevalence studies and the need to take into account the health harms of the lockdown.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=k7v2F3usNVA&list=PLq8BgDugd2oyqmYx6RdVlJfQeAdhJkhc3The evidence mounts that the extreme lockdown is devastating the health care sector along with other industries.
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A Los Angeles County study for antibodies to coronavirus finds that there are 28 to 55 times more cases than are shown by testing.
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Beneath Governor Walz' confident pronunciations about the epidemic are some ugly truths.
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Summaries of research papers on infection rates and transmission dynamics.
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Some more research or coronavirus story summaries, with the less dense ones up first.
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Bad decision-making process inevitably leads to bad decisions, and that is where we are.
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Here are responses Minnesota's modelers gave to legislators' questions and my response to the responses.
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A senior epidemiologist gives a much more common-sense view of the epidemic.
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Here is the text and analysis of the full Stanford antibody study paper.
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A weekly recap in which we attempt to figure out where we are, which isn't in a good place.
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About this Blog
The Healthy Skeptic is a website about the health care system, and is written by Kevin Roche, who has many years of experience working in the health industry. Mr. Roche is available to assist health care companies through consulting arrangements through Roche Consulting, LLC and may be reached at khroche@healthy-skeptic.com.
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