People are getting antsy about changing the shutdown strategy. We should be realistic about the future course of the epidemic.
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Models of coronavirus spread can be useful; their limitations just have to be understood and well-communicated.
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Here is a chart that may help you think about coronavirus models.
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It is hard to keep up with all the studies being published on coronavirus. Here are summaries of a couple of the most interesting ones.
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My home state released information on the models used to justify the shutdown order in the state and there is good and bad news in reviewing the materials. You should…
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Time for another weekly recap of what we do and don't know about coronavirus.
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This can't be said any more clearly and strongly: we need widespread antibody testing now.
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We can't let this shutdown fundamentally change how we relate to one another.
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A quick look at some stats of interest on coronavirus.
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Some more interesting research on transmission of the coronavirus.
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The numbers on economic damage are astounding.
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A hot-off-the-presses paper analyzes death risk from coronavirus disease.
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More information on some research and cautions on a couple of issues.
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Being realistic means doing the best job you can to assess the facts and analyze a situation rationally in making decisions.
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