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Coronamonomania Lives Forever, Part 97

By February 1, 2022Commentary

In Minnesota, and I think everywhere else as well, we are having the epidemic of the vaxed.  In real time the vast majority of the cases are in the vaxed.  I think per capita rates are converging as well.  Case rates, however, which are my best indicator, continue to suggest that if you are at any risk, being vaxed is much better than being unvaxed if you want to avoid hospitalization and death.

A substack about school closures postulates what we all know to be true–the determining factor was the strength of teachers’ unions and their wholly-owned subsidiary, the Democrat Party.  Despicable degenerates who should all be bounced from having any contact with children.  (Substack)

A very large number of children have been infected–very, very rarely with serious disease, and therefore have immunity and don’t need to be vaxed or subjected to mask-wearing or any of the nonsense they have been assaulted with.  This study of anitbody prevalence finds that by May of 2021, about 37% of children had been infected, multiples of the reported cases in this age group.  So by now, over six months later, I would guess that the number is closer to 80%.  So why do we have any restrictions related to children?   (JID Study)

And opening schools was not associated with an increase in CV-19 emergency room visits or hospitalizations in children, according to this study from Israel.  (JID Study)

This study in Science looked at hybrid immunity, found in people who have been both vaxed and infected, in whichever order.  It found, as has other research, that these persons had broader and more durable immune responses to an attempted re-infection.  And this hybrid immunity does not appear to lessen with older age.  (Science Study)

Asymptomatic transmission–is it a thing?  This meta-review of the research finds that it is generally not high quality, making it difficult to estimate the proportion of all infections that are truly asymptomatic, but that it may be around 20%.  The review suggests that the transmission rate from asymptomatic persons is likely less than half that of symptomatic cases, but emphasizes the unreliability of the research.  (Medrxiv Paper)

This study from Greece finds that vaccination was associated with a very substantial reduction in intubation (mechanical ventilation) and death from CV-19, and that this protection remained at the 80% level for at least six months.  (Medrxiv Study)

Another study finding a shorter serial interval for Omicron compared to Delta, which may partly explain its apparent higher rate of spread.  The time span may be shorter for unvaxed pairs of infectors/infectees than in vaxed ones.  (Medrxiv Paper)

Contrary to some other studies, this one from Japan among health care workers found that the antibody and T cell responses following vaccination declined along a similar trajectory.  (Medrxiv Paper)

And this study also finds that vaccination does not appear to result in development of mucus tissue adaptive immunity, unlike infection-derived adaptive immunity.  (Medrxiv Paper)

This research in the death records from three European countries with over 100 years of high-quality data accumulation finds that during the epidemic there was a surge in excess mortality, but that it was far lower than that experieinced during the 1918 flu epidemic.  And the years of life lost, based on life expectancies of those who died, was also much lower in 2020 than in 1918.  (Annals Story)


Join the discussion 2 Comments

  • joe Kosanda says:

    The comparison of excess mortality between the 1918 spanish flu and the 2020 covid is interesting.

    Has anyone seen any data for death rates per capita (per 100k) by age groups for the spanish flu vs the death rates per capita by age groups for covid. How much of covid deaths vs 1918 spanish flu deaths are due to having a much larger pool of elderly?

    Covid appears to have very high death rates for the elderly and health comprised individuals with very low death rates for the otherwise healthy individuals.

    While the 1918 spanish flu, like all pandemics, deaths skew very heavy to the elderly and health compromised, Whereas, my recollection is that the spanish flu had much higher death rates for otherwise health young individuals.

    thanks for any insight.

    • Kevin Roche says:

      the 1918 epidemic occurred when there were not a ton of people over age 65. And it had a disproportionate effect on mortality in the young

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