Ranting here, but about an absolute piece of trash research, fit only for toilet paper. Here is a study, graph below, that our old buddy Andy Slavitt is tweeting about saying here is clear “cause and effect”. I have to tell you, I don’t think Andy is stupid, but he must have absolutely zero knowledge of either experimental design or statistics. Or he has been wearing his mask so long, the supply of oxygen to his brain is diminished. He knows the Danish study will get out, and he knows his shot at HHS is disappearing rapidly as Biden fades faster than the oil industry will, so desperation is setting in quickly. (Andy has more money than Biden, though (I think, who knows for sure how much Joe has collected over the years) so Andy will be fine.) This was published in the Washington Post, which wouldn’t know science from shinola.
I would guess all of you can imagine what is wrong with the study just by looking at the chart. Look at the endpoint, the thing supposedly affected by mask-wearing. Percent of people who know someone with CV-19? Seriously, that is an endpoint? But it gets better, guess where they got that percent, and the percent of people who say they wear masks all the time in public. From Facebook. Now there is a rigorously selected and representative sample. But you always have to be asking yourself when you look at research, why were the endpoints picked and what alternatives were there. Here, the alternatives would be actual cases, especially if adjusted for testing levels, hospitalizations even better or deaths. This one reminds me of Ocean’s Eleven, when George Clooney says, “I know a guy who knows someone who can talk to people” or something to that effect. Very scientific. Trash, Trash, Trash.
But this study gets taken seriously by the media and by the hysterics like Mr. Slavitt. It is truly a joke, but the public is the punched line.
And while I am ranting let me point another deceptive use of numbers going around right now. All of sudden people have decided to show “cases per hundred thousand of population”, instead of the actual number of cases reported a day. Why is that? It is because in the small population states where most of the case rise is right now, the numbers aren’t very big, so they switched to something that could look scarier in comparisons. When it was New York or Florida or Texas, we got raw numbers, now suddenly we get the new metric. Both are fine, but you can’t trust anything from the regular media, they regularly strategize on how to make things look as bad as possible.
Finally, the university that did the “research” for that dreadful graph, has on its website the data about mask wearing. The Twin Cities is near 100% and the rest of Minnesota is extremely high. So don’t give me any crap about the mask mandate would be working if people actually wore them. People wear them all the time here. I see that with my own eyes. Masks don’t f***ing work to significantly slow community transmission. Period. It is absolutely obvious to anyone who looks at anything as basic as Minnesota case trends. Makes no difference, or if you prefer, makes things worse!!