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Breakthrough Events, December 15

By December 19, 2022Commentary

Just for a change-up I am going to invert my usual method of reporting breakthroughs.  This week 28% of cases, 29% of hospitalizations and 4 out of 21 deaths are in unvaccinated.  You can figure out where most of them are based on that.  Per capita rates are most meaningful for comparisons, but you are concerned about what is keeping the epidemic going and using health resources, it isn’t the unvaxed.

Dave’s notes:

  1. This post is an update to the Covid vaccination breakthrough data table for the overall Minnesota population published on 12/11/2022 here: https://healthy-skeptic.com/2022/12/11/breakthrough-events-december-8/. This week’s update adds data through the week ending 11/20/2022, published by the Minnesota Department of Health (MDH) on 12/15/2022.  As usual, there were also relatively minor revisions to past data as MDH rescans the vaccination data bases every week.
  2. The breakthrough data files are available from MDH here, https://www.health.state.mn.us/diseases/coronavirus/stats/vbt.html , in the notes under the graphic images.
  3. Fig. 1: This table displays the total cases, hospital admissions, and deaths that occurred each week among the unvaccinated, vaccinated but not boosted, and vaccinated and boosted populations. Data for the week of 11/20/2022 has been added this week, and there have been very minor updated data changes throughout the table. Covid cases and hospital admissions had very small decreases the week of 11/20/2022 (except unvaccinated admissions). The decreases in Covid deaths the week of 11/20/2022 are likely due to incomplete reporting.
  4. Fig. 2 through 4: Charts displaying the cases, hospital admissions, and deaths over time, using the same data in Fig. 1.
  5. MDH defines the fully vaccinated (what we have termed vaccinated but not boosted) as those who have not received a booster after completing their primary vaccination series, and had been vaccinated at least 14 days prior to testing positive.
  6. MDH defines the boosted as those who have received any additional vaccination shots after completing their primary vaccination series, and also received the booster at least 14 days prior to testing positive. In addition, booster doses were only counted after 8/13/2021, the date the CDC first began recommending booster shots.

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