A number of these recent studies come from the relatively new journal Science of Climate Change, which is run by those on the skeptical side. I assume their peer review is good, but I too am skeptical, in this case that perhaps eagerness to disprove hysterical narratives leads to acceptance of sloppy science. The journal is published in Norway, which I view as a plus. In any event, a study published there claims we are entering into a “grand solar minimum”–a period of reduced solar activity. These periods have been associated with cold spells often referred to as little ice ages. The author uses an analysis of magnetic waves in the sun to come to his conclusions. He says there is a regular cycle to the patterns of these waves and that the pattern is associated with more or less solar activity. He claims we entered a solar minimum that started in 2020 and will last until 2053. He projects another one from 2375 to 2410. Don’t think I will be around to see that. Apparently a temperature decline of around one degree Centigrade will occur. Not clear to what extent all the extra warmth being created by CO2-induced global warming will offset that cooling–ha, ha. (Solar Study)
First point is that I dont express any opinion on the merits of the study other than understanding the role of the sun in climate is of the utmost importance.
That being said, the shift from the cooling phase during the little ice age to the warming phase circa 1850’s to the early 1900’s is as great or greater than the speed of the warming starting in the later half of the 1900’s. There has been no credible scientific explanation (or understanding) as to why there was a shift from cooling to a warming phase ie the emergence from the little ice age. The most likely explanation is that there was a change in solar activity. Unfortunately, climate scientists have avoided any serious exploration of this era with the exception of blaming the change on the start of the industrial revolution and the increase in CO2 from 280ppm to 281ppm (well maybe 285ppm).
A person cant know where the are going unless they know where they have been. The avoidance of any understanding of the shift from cooling to warming circa 1850 is a major deficiency in climate science.