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Coronamonomania Lives Forever, Part 193

By February 16, 2023Commentary

This isn’t just an epidemic response effect, but young people are attempting and committing suicide at a record pace.  Between the disruption in their educational and social lives, social media, drugs, constant exposure to CRT lies, bullshit gender ideology and global warming hysteria, it is amazing there are any adolescents or young adults who aren’t completely crazy.  This study from a unit of Cigna using claims data finds a stark rise in suicide diagnoses in children and adolescents, up 39% from 2019 to 2021.  35% of all diagnoses for suicide attempts or success are from this age group.  Really tragic.  (Evernorth Analysis)

More good news for the whacko progressives determined to ruin children’s lives–they are succeeding.  This report from the CDC shows that from the comparable period in 2019 to 2021, drug overdose deaths rose by 109% in children aged 10 to 19.  The increase was over 180% for fentanyl-related deaths.  We are losing over a thousand young people a year to drug overdoses, and that is rising rapidly.  (CDC Report)

Nursing home residents have been the heaviest hit by the epidemic in terms of serious illness.  They are also highly vaccinated, to little effect according to this CDC analysis, although that is not the way the CDC would put it.  Continually getting boosters offers very little protection against infection, and what it does offer goes away quickly, is the truth of the data.  As usual, there is no attempt to adjust for prior infection status, a key confounder.  (CDC Report)

Yet another analysis demonstrates that states with less strict lockdown policies, like Florida, did far better not just economically, but socially and in handling the epidemic, than did states, like California and Minnesota, that pushed all kinds of futile policies to suppress viral transmission.  (Paragon Report)

CV-19 is going to be with us forever, basically.  Like other coronaviruses it appears to be highly seasonal.  This is another paper exploring the factors associated with seasonality, finding that in mid-latitude or temperate climates, it tends to be more prevalent in winter, and in more sub-tropical climates it can be more prevalent in summer.  Air temperature and humidity appear to be mediating factors.  And a reminder that understanding environmental factors on transmission requires a look at the impact on the virus, the impact on humans and the impact on the transmission process.  (SSRN Paper)

This paper compares measuring CV-19 deaths solely from death certificates versus counting everyone who dies within 28 days of a positive CV-19 test, two methods reported in the UK.  The two measures tracked relatively closely up til the Omicron wave, when the 28 day approach began to include many deaths with no mention of CV-19 on the death certificate.  In my opinion, they both overcount.  (SSRN Paper)

And finally, for all the VSNs, relying on nonsense about excess deaths promulgated by the likes of Alex Berenson is just stupid.  These people have shown no ability to understand the complexity of these calculations in their quest for sensationalist conclusions.  Another paper led by the redoubtable Prof. Ioannidis explains some of these complexities.  It also finds that many of the excess deaths that do exist are not likely caused by CV-19.  We know many in the US are drug overdoses and missed care deaths.  (SSRN Paper)

 

 

Join the discussion 2 Comments

  • joe kosanda says:

    Kevin’s comment – “CV-19 is going to be with us forever, basically. Like other coronaviruses it appears to be highly seasonal. This is another paper exploring the factors associated with seasonality, finding that in mid-latitude or temperate climates, it tends to be more prevalent in winter, and in more sub-tropical climates it can be more prevalent in summer.”

    fwiw – Edgar Hopes Simpson documented this trend in the 1980s’ for all pandemics. Covid pretty much followed the hopes-simpson curve / trend with a minor deviation in that the dividing line seemed to be the 32nd parallel instead of the 30th parallel. There was nothing surprising that Florida and south Texas had a summer surge in 2020 and in 2021. A lot of criticism was aimed at Gov Desantis during those summer surges, yet never acknowledging the known history of pandemics – and that man has very little control over mother nature.

  • joe Kosanda says:

    Kevin’s comment – “CV-19 is going to be with us forever, basically.”

    The failure of the elites to recognize that basic fact – that covid is going to be here forever – let to many of the very futile attempts to control covid in meaningless ways.

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