Dave Dixon’s updated production. Notes below. Lot more tests this year, so a lot more cases, hard to know which drives which. Lot more vaxed people this year, i.e., there were none last year. How can this be happening? But you do see some effect of vaccines I think, especially in the death line, and maybe a little in the hospital line.
1. The sharp rise in cases, hospital admissions, and hospital beds in use is stunning given the levels of vaccination in Minnesota. One month ago I thought the worst was over after cases peaked in early October. The data looks very much like last year. Reported deaths is the only data point that has not accelerated as much as last year at the same time.
2, All data for testing, cases, hospital admissions, and deaths are taken from the data table on the Minnesota Situation Update page: https://www.health.state.mn.us/diseases/coronavirus/situation.html The only modification to the data is to calculate 7 day running averages in order to make the trends easier to see.
3. The underlying data for hospital beds in use is taken from the Teletracking data file found on the Response and Preparation web page: https://mn.gov/covid19/data/response-prep/response-capacity.jsp The Teletracking data file is also cited as the data source for the graphic on this same page. 7 day running averages are calculated for beds in use as well.
4. Active cases are calculated as the cumulative PCR and antigen positive cases minus cumulative deaths minus the people No Longer Needing Isolation. The No Longer Needing Isolation total is found on the Situation Update page. In recent days MDH has started publishing the Total Positive People (Cumulative) statistic. It is on our to-do list to figure out the impact of this reporting change on Active Cases.
5. For all charts the most recent 7 days of data is excluded, in order to avoid charting incomplete data.