Dave thought that at a time when we are pounding the table for a shift in public policy to declare the epidemic over, despite rising cases, might be good to remind everyone of how non-lethal this pathogen is for the vast, vast majority of the population. The table below calculates the fatality, and inversely the survival, rates by age group in Minnesota. Pretty much says it all. You don’t really drop below a 99% survival rate until age 65 or older, and that is assuming the crazy death attribution method CDC and DOH use is accurate. It isn’t.
- The underlying data is taken from Page 22 of the Minnesota Weekly Report published on 11-11-2021 here: https://www.health.state.mn.
- The percent of total cases in each age group are simply the cumulative cases in each age group divided by the cumulative total cases for all age groups. The percentage of deaths in each age group is calculated in the same manner.
- The case fatality rate is the cumulative deaths in each age group divided by the cumulative cases in each age group.
- The survival rate is calculated as the (cumulative cases minus cumulative deaths) divided by the cumulative cases in each age group. The survival rate is also equal to the 1 minus the case fatality rate.