The two things that Mr. Dixon and I watch most closely for the epidemic trends in Minnesota, and occasionally elsewhere, are active cases and the week-over-week analysis. The week-over-week analysis is designed to examine the change in the change in cases, etc. Take a day of the week and compare the number of cases a week earlier. That percent change can be tracked over a number of days to see how it is changing, gives you a sense of are cases accelerating, decelerating or on a plateau. The analysis is lagged a bit because it takes a while for most of the cases related to a specific day to be reported. The current charts are below and they would suggest that we are kind of sitting on a plateau in Minnesota. If school hadn’t opened and wild testing begun related to those age groups, we might be on a case downtrend, but no certainty in that either. Just eyeballing more recent data indicates no acceleration, but not really a deceleration yet either.
The Healthy Skeptic is a website about the health care system, and is written by Kevin Roche, who has many years of experience working in the health industry. Mr. Roche is available to assist health care companies through consulting arrangements through Roche Consulting, LLC and may be reached at 
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