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Breakthrough Events, September 8

By September 9, 2021Commentary

Dave Dixon’s updated charts, with various lag on reporting assumptions to try to match breakthroughs from the same time period with non-breakthrough ones.  I gave you the raw date reported numbers in the post earlier today. I think we are heading to first a third of all cases being breakthroughs, then 40%, 50%, etc.  It is almost inevitable as vax rates rise.  Would love to know reinfections as well.  And again, nothing to be concerned about.  Lower absolute numbers, same age structure.

Join the discussion 2 Comments

  • The Dark Lord says:

    check out the Cleveland study …

    https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2021.06.01.21258176v3

    Summary: Cumulative incidence of COVID-19 was examined among 52238 employees in an American healthcare system. COVID-19 did not occur in anyone over the five months of the study among 2579 individuals previously infected with COVID-19, including 1359 who did not take the vaccine.

    thats right 1359 unvaccinated people with prior infection …. zero breakthru’s …

  • Kevin Roche says:

    yeah, I think it is becoming clear that immunity by infection is better than immunity by vax, although the combination in most studies is better yet. Of course, I don’t think it is advisable for most people to try to get their immunity from infection versus vaccination. In most groups the risk/benefit of that course tilts to vax.

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