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Breakthrough Events, September 8

By September 9, 2021Commentary1 min read

Dave Dixon’s updated charts, with various lag on reporting assumptions to try to match breakthroughs from the same time period with non-breakthrough ones.  I gave you the raw date reported numbers in the post earlier today. I think we are heading to first a third of all cases being breakthroughs, then 40%, 50%, etc.  It is almost inevitable as vax rates rise.  Would love to know reinfections as well.  And again, nothing to be concerned about.  Lower absolute numbers, same age structure.

Kevin Roche

Author Kevin Roche

The Healthy Skeptic is a website about the health care system, and is written by Kevin Roche, who has many years of experience working in the health industry through Roche Consulting, LLC. Mr. Roche is available to assist health care companies through consulting arrangements and may be reached at khroche@healthy-skeptic.com.

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Join the discussion 2 Comments

  • The Dark Lord says:

    check out the Cleveland study …

    https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2021.06.01.21258176v3

    Summary: Cumulative incidence of COVID-19 was examined among 52238 employees in an American healthcare system. COVID-19 did not occur in anyone over the five months of the study among 2579 individuals previously infected with COVID-19, including 1359 who did not take the vaccine.

    thats right 1359 unvaccinated people with prior infection …. zero breakthru’s …

    • Kevin Roche says:

      yeah, I think it is becoming clear that immunity by infection is better than immunity by vax, although the combination in most studies is better yet. Of course, I don’t think it is advisable for most people to try to get their immunity from infection versus vaccination. In most groups the risk/benefit of that course tilts to vax.

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