Note the volatility of the ratio of LTC and non-LTC cases. Early on with little testing, very high percent of cases, but not in reality although there is some front-loading as most vulnerable get infected most easily, then as testing ramps up, proportion falls rapidly, then a plateau, then as vaccination kicks in early this year, which this group going first, another fall, a plateau, and as both other groups are heavily vaccinated, and vaccination is less effective in this group, a slight increase in recent weeks. On the case numbers chart, you can see the fall to very low absolute numbers, with maybe a slight rise in recent weeks. Have I mentioned that the age structure, and ratio of LTC cases, would be similar in a fully unvaxed and a fully vaxed population? Trust me, it will. Thanks once more to DD.
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MedPAC 2019 Report to Congress
June 18, 2019
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