Thanks to DD on this as well. The usual reminder, this takes deaths by week of actual death, uses median time to hospitalization and cases to work backward and create a cohort of cases and identify outcomes by cohort. This is really important. The state should do it and never has. It is the best way to see trends in the most important outcomes. I have only included the hospitalization and death rates as calculated for each week. You can see that since the summer, hospitalization rates have stayed in a narrow band. And the death rate kicked up slightly at the start of the year, but generally has also been very stable.
And I just want to point out again that that death rate hovers around 1% of cases, but if the state is right that we have 10x cases, it really is .1% of infections, and if there high end estimate of 100x were right (you will recall that would put the population of Minnesota at 48 million people) it would be .01% of infections. I think the right number is more like 3-5x, so the real rate is .2% or .3% of infections.