The current administration in Minnesota is completely incompetent. We have one of the lowest per capita rates of vaccination of any state. The vast majority of our deaths are among LTC residents and the frail elderly. There are only about 80,000 LTC residents left. Vaccinate them. First. Stop the deaths that feed the hysteria. Or do they like the hysteria and the power and feeling like Big Daddy protecting poor, scared Minnesotans?
The long dark winter actually never happened, especially since winter starts December 21, and cases began dropping in early November and have plummeted since then. Dr. Doom, Michael Osterholm, and his axis of evil compatriots, including Fauci, couldn’t have been more wrong about the course of the epidemic, the number of cases, hospitals collapsing, etc. No one should trust one word they say, and for God’s sake, don’t give them any role in deciding how to respond to the epidemic. They are completely clueless and ignorant.
On current reported numbers, Minnesota’s case fatality rate is 1.3%. Seems high. But the deaths attributed to CV-19 are exaggerated. And more importantly, even the state believes there currently are multiples of undetected cases to detected ones. Let’s say the multiple is 5, which is lower than the latest CDC and antibody prevalence data suggest. The infection fatality rate drops to .26%. Under normal circumstances, a third to half the deaths attributed to CV-19 wouldn’t be. You can see we are talking about a pretty non-lethal pathogen. And I have repeatedly shown the wild age divergence in that case fatality rate. For the general community-dwelling population, the risk of serious illness is, well, miniscule.
Thanks to a reader who sent me this. Go back a hundred years and here is the Science magazine article discussing the great flu pandemic of 1918. (Science Article) Kind of interesting to see the similarity in issues and how little progress has been made in controlling respiratory pathogens despite our much greater technical knowledge.
And here is a very sensible commentary from a Canadian physician on the harms of lockdowns. (Canada Article) As he points out, the harms are far greater than the supposed benefits.
More research on the harms of “distance” non-learning is found in this NBER paper. (NBER Paper) The authors found that high-school students from rich neighborhoods suffered little learning loss, while those from lower-income areas had a substantial decrement in their educational progress. Loss of peer interaction and parent availability and interaction were key factors.
This paper found little evidence of asymptomatic or undetected spread among school children in Switzerland. (Medrxiv Paper) Community transmission was high at the time. Among children and staff tracked for infection, almost none developed CV-19. And almost all the few supposed positive tests turned out to be false positives on retesting, which is alarming. The authors conclude that widespread random testing in schools would be unnecessary and counterproductive.
This article in the British Medical Journal further suggests that widespread testing of students is pointless, with a huge risk of false positives. (BMJ Article) Thousands of students were tested and the false positive rate was an astounding 58%. There appeared to be a number of false negatives as well.
Another study finds long-lasting adaptive immune response from CV-19 infection. (NEJM Article) Over 12,000 health care workers at a health system in England participated in the study. There were no symptomatic re-infections among those workers who had antibodies to the spike protein or the nucleocapsid protein.
Those prone to CV-19 freak-out are doing so over a mutation which supposedly makes the virus more infectious. So far I am not convinced that there is clear evidence that this is the case. This paper claims that the new strain is associated with higher viral loads, which might suggest greater infectiousness. (Medrxiv Paper)