The screen shots below reflects two things. Note that the curves in the first screen shot are from the last Minnesota model slides and are supposedly what cases would look like, with the range of uncertainty, 1) with no mitigation (blue line) and 2) with a middle mitigation scenario (yellow line) and 3) with the sort of best case mitigation scenario (pink line). None of these is remotely close to what actually happened and note that according to all, the epidemic is over by now (days are since March). We wasted our time and millions of taxpayer dollars. Look at the second screen shot, some of the projections for deaths from these scenarios. And note that the third scenario was when the absurd levels of testing now being done were just a gleam in the state’s eye. They thought getting to 20,000 tests a day would be key to getting things under control. If you track testing and cases you would conclude that doing more testing actually caused even more cases, that testing didn’t lead to any control of spread.
Secondly, the state has continually hidden the truth about what is going on with the Minnesota modeling group they promoted so heavily in the spring. I think they have all been sent off to some gulag. Repeatedly over the summer and fall we were told that they were doing new work that would be released imminently. I don’t know why they would be working now, since the epidemic is already over according to their model. When I talk about incompetence in the Governor’s response, this is Exhibit A.