Europe has clearly experienced a resurgence in cases in many countries, but hospitalizations and deaths have not followed. The chart below, showing cases and deaths since August first in European countries, also shows that on a likely total infection basis, the infection fatality rate looks suspiciously like, well, that of influenza. Thanks to Kyle Lamb on Twitter.
What’re CFR & IFR?
cfr is case fatality rate, the rate among detected cases. ifr is infection fatality rate, the rate among all cases detected and undetected. CV-19 has many asymptomatic and mild cases that are never detected
cfr is case fatality rate, the rate among detected cases, ifr is infection fatality rate, the rate among all cases, detected and undetected. CV-19 has many asymptomatic and mild infections which go undetected
I’ve been arguing that’s likely to happen here as well. During this spike, deaths have remained very low. But notice the countries with the hardest lockdowns and mask mandates have the highest deaths. The ‘Big four scientific’ nations of Europe that gave us Leibniz, Planck, Herschel, Galileo, Volta, Da Vinci, Pasteur, Descartes, Pasteur, Darwin, Newton, Faraday etc., are the ones that got their lunches handed to them by Sweden.
I think this is going to happen here in Canada. We’re 3 or 4 weeks behind Europe. They’re preparing for the worse but come the end of November and we get through it, I would be stunned if they keep acting like this is a pandemic and not a mild epidemic that can be health with.
At some point, officials simply won’t be able to deny the data. I hope.